The
team predicts that the
Atlantic basin will experience 16 named tropical storms this year.
That same region usually experiences 12.1 storms. The team also forecasts the
Atlantic will experience eight hurricanes (the average is 6.4 per year), 35
hurricane days (as opposed to the average of 24.2) and four major hurricanes
(as opposed to 2.7).
The
probability of at least one major hurricane (category 3, 4 or 5) making
landfall somewhere along the continental U.S. coastline this year is 69% (the
average last century was 52%).
The U.S. East Coast, including Florida, has a
45% chance of experiencing a major hurricane (last century’s average was 31%).
The Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas, has a
44% chance of experiencing a major hurricane in 2020, compared to a 30% chance
last century.
There is a 58% chance of at least one major hurricane tracking
into the Caribbean. Last century, the average was 42%.
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